" We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run , " observed roy amara , an american futurologist .

美国未来学研究者罗伊.阿马拉（royamara）说道：“我们在短期内时常高估科技的影响，而在大部分时间内却又低估了它的作用。”

I was more than happy to meet at this legendary hollywood haunt to pick the mind of 77 - year-old toffler , the world 's most famous futurologist .

我很高兴能在这个富有传奇色彩的、好莱坞名人经常出没的地方，采访现年77岁、全球最著名的未来学家托夫勒。