But , for all the simple certitudes beloved of today 's publishing industry , there are some very big " ifs " along the way .

不过，尽管当今出版业钟情于绝对的肯定，但在其发展道路上，仍有不少很大的不确定因素。

They do so in a wide variety of ways : at a recent leverhulme lecture at the institute for fiscal studies in london , the economic statistician charles manski laid out a typology of unreasonable " certitudes " .

他们的方式方法多种多样：在伦敦财政研究所（instituteforfiscalstudies）的leverhulme讲座上，经济统计学家查尔斯曼斯基（charlesmanski）对不合情理的“确定性”作了分门别类的阐述。

Such a chaotic debut for democracy would tempt ordinary egyptians to pine for the brutal certitudes of mr mubarak 's rule .

这样一个混乱的民主会使得普通的埃及民众反而渴望穆巴拉克残酷的统治时期。