Bremmer agreed that economists have gotten ahead of themselves .

布雷默也认为，经济学家的预测过于超前。

Economists are having trouble because most of those events are really unpredictable , " he says .

他说：“经济学家失手是因为这类事件大都难以预测。”

In january of 2008 , economists surveyed by bloomberg put the likelihood of a recession at 40 % .

2008年1月，彭博社（Bloomberg）调查的经济学家认为经济衰退的可能性为40%。

The move is serious enough that economists have begun to ask : is globalization running backward ?

这样的变化足以让经济学家们开始质疑：全球化是否正在倒退？

Economists widely believe that growth of at least 8 % is needed for a soft landing .

经济学家们普遍认为，经济增速至少达到8%才能实现软着陆。